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The new futures markets are a powerful tool for making money.
The “new” futures markets may be your key to enormous profits too.
I’ve advised hundreds of businesses and few of them enjoy the leveraging power of the futures markets.
Granted, there’s a huge downside risk in the futures markets.
What kind of risk are we talking about?
Well, if you open a futures trading account you’ll be required to approve a disclaimer like this:
The risk of loss in trading commodity futures and options is substantial. Before trading, you should carefully consider your financial position to determine if futures trading is appropriate. When trading futures and/or options, it is possible to lose more than the full value of your account. All funds committed should be risk capital. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
But I’ll show you one way to eliminate or greatly reduce your risk.
On top of that, I’ll show you a way profit in this market without trading future contracts or options….you’ll love this strategy.
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It’s no secret…..
The downside risk in the futures markets is magnified because of the leveraging power.
And don’t kid yourself…I’m not talking about perceived risk here. I’m talking about ACTUAL, real time, fortune busting risk!
But come on… every business has some risk.
The secret to being a successful trader is reducing or eliminating risk
This week I’ll show you how to make money in this market.
But more importantly, I’ll show you how to reduce or eliminate your downside risk.
The futures market is a 24-hour multi-trillion dollar global wellspring of cash
Entrepreneurs can trade more than 140 different markets in more than 15 countries.
I recommend staying away from unregulated futures markets. There’s no reason to get involved with unregulated markets.
What’s more, I would avoid markets with low open interest. Open interest is the number of open contracts or participation.
You’ll want to focus on markets that are easy to get in and out.
Know What You’re Doing — Understand the Market You’re Trading
One of the keys to being a successful trader is by understanding the market you’re trading.
It’s amazing how many people trade stocks in markets, products, or industries of which they have no clue!
If you ignore this key you’ll pay dearly in the end.
Every market has its own “nuance” or subtle difference.
We need to learn HOW to trade like a professional money maker.
The “masses” rarely make (and keep) money in the futures market.
We also need a system to consistently remove profits from the market.
I’m not talking about a software trading program – although there are some good ones on the market today.
I’m talking about a system that incorporates logic and horse sense.
Most beginning traders do not bother to gain an understanding of the market they trade, nor do they understand how to remove profits from the market.
I’ll show you how to do this – and more.
What the Heck are Commodity Futures?
A futures contract is an obligation to buy or sell a given quantity of an asset at a specified future date and at an agreed-upon price.
Futures contracts have standard delivery dates, trading units, terms, and conditions.
A futures contract can be based on any number of underlying assets.
You can trade oil, coffee, cotton, currencies, precious metals, and soybeans… to name a few.
To “open” a futures position, you either buy or sell a future.
To “close” a futures position, you do the exact opposite – either selling or buying the same future.
Most futures contract positions are “closed out” in this way before they expire.
If you believe that the price of the underlying asset will rise, you would buy a futures contract. This is referred to as LONG position. When you own a contract (long) it commits you to take delivery of the underlying shares, or equivalent cash value, at a prearranged price and by a certain date – unless you sell it.
If you believe the price of the underlying asset will fall, you would sell a futures contract. This is referred to as a SHORT position. When you sell a futures contract (short) it commits you to deliver the underlying shares, or equivalent cash value, at a prearranged price and by a certain date – unless you buy it.
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*******Trading Tip: You can place “stop-loss” orders above or below your entry points to protect yourself if the market moves against you. Traders also use stop-loss orders to lock in profits.
The most active futures contracts are traded on government-regulated exchanges like the Chicago Board of Trade (the largest futures exchange), the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the New York Board of Trade, the London Metal Exchange, and the ICE (Intercontinental Exchange).
You can find futures exchanges in most industrialized countries.
An “Insider” Commodity Trading Strategy
Most beginning traders act like they’re on a weekend junket in Vegas! There’s no strategy and no understanding of the games they play.
On top of that, when they do win they blow it all at the club buying drinks for everyone on the house.
Rookies trade with reckless abandon
Inexperienced traders usually “let it ride” after a winning trade with the intention of making even more money.
But most of the professional money makers I’ve met don’t trade like this.
Professional money makers understand trading is a business.
Professional money makers and traders know how hard it is to make and keep profits.
Street savvy traders learn to remove a portion of their profits from the market.
Two well-known traders I’m familiar with put winnings in a separate account at a different bank.
Markets Are Predictable to a Degree
Every market tends to move in cycles, trends, and “waves.”
For example, hogs are a popular livestock futures market.
And get this…
Hogs have gone up in price the last part of March and into the first week of April for the past 42 years like clockwork.
Do you know why?
Part of the answer is Easter!
More ham and bacon are sold around the Easter holiday than at any other time of year!
A professional hog trader understands this cycle and trades accordingly.
Professional traders typically specialize in one market.
For example, a professional coffee trader would know if prices were at historical highs or lows. He would also know when a coffee crop is most vulnerable to freezing temperatures like we saw recently in Brazil.
A professional coffee trader would patiently watch the market.
Then just prior to the winter “freeze season” he might buy coffee futures.
When the news hits the masses about the “devastating freeze,” the trader could add to his positions in a very big way. The savviest traders would sell into any panic, remove profits and possibly (if the conditions were right) buy more contracts.
A neat insider secret…
Most professional traders understand hysteria doesn’t last forever. At some point he or she knows the market will settle down or prices may reverse quickly. But eventually prices will move back into a trading range.
Professional traders can make a lot of money when markets move into a trading range…but we’ll cover this in another issue.
The “Insider” Commodity Trading Strategy is easy to understand.
The idea is to leverage your positions through a series of four trades, remove your profits, and start over again small.
Let’s take a hypothetical trade in the soybean futures market so I can show you how it works.
Soybeans are a great agricultural market to trade too, by the way. It’s one of the largest futures markets in the world. This enables you to enter and exit trades almost instantaneously.
Anyway the deposit (or margin) to control one soybean futures contract is about $3,000.
A soybean futures contract consists of 5,000 bushels of soybeans.
But don’t worry…
You won’t be handling any physical soybeans, and no one is going to dump them on your driveway!
You’ll be trading the digital contract.
Every time a soybean futures contract moves one cent, the value of the contract increases or decreases by $50USD.
It’s common for soybeans to move 25 cents in one day.
For example, if the price of a soybean futures exchange closes up 25 cents the value of the futures contract would increase $1,250.
So, if you bought a soybean futures contract when the market opened and sold it after the contract had gained 25 cents, you would have made $1,250 net profit.
But instead of taking your money and celebrating in the casino lounge, you’re expecting this market to go higher. You base your opinion on the fact there’s been too much rain, too much sun, poor crops, or whatever. Plus, this is a business for you not a weekend junket!
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****** Trading Tip: There are basically only two ways to approach the market – either from a technical or a fundamental point of view. A technical view is based on charts, cycles, Elliott Waves, etc. A fundamental view is based on supply, demand, weather, crisis, etc. If you can use BOTH of these approaches to make your investment decisions, it’s even better.
For example, with an Elliott Wave technical view of a market a trader would wait for signals based on Elliott Wave structure on price charts. The three major aspects of Elliott Wave analysis are pattern, time, and ratio. The basic Elliott Wave pattern consists of a five wave uptrend followed by a three wave correction. Each “leg” of a wave in turn consists of smaller waves. Elliott waves can be used define where a market is in relation to historical prices.
After you’ve sold your one contract let’s say you buy two new soybean futures contracts.
The market starts to drop, but you don’t panic because you know that the market goes up and down all the time.
You’re confident soybean prices will continue to rise, and they do.
The market closes up 50 cents by the end of the week, and you sell your two soybean futures contracts.
*** Trading Tip: Trades on the futures market are IMMEDIATE. This is especially true for the markets with large volume and open interest. The soybean futures market on the Chicago Board of Trade is HUGE. When you place an order to buy or sell, it’s filled almost INSTANTLY.
Okay, so far in our hypothetical trade you’ve made a total of $6,250.
You made $1250 on the first trade.
Then you made $5,000 on the second trade. (Two contracts x 50 cents = 100 cents x $50 = $5,000).
The following week, you buy three new soybean futures contracts.
This time the rumors are flying about a pending drought. This affects soybean futures in a big way…and prices head higher.
The prices jump another 50 cents in two days!
By the end of the week, prices are up 75 cents. Now you sell all three contracts.
How much would you have made on this third series of trades?
Well, three contracts x 75 cents = 225 cents x $50 = $11,250!
You’re so excited you can hardly stand it.
This is ONLY an illustration. But it’s still exciting!
Unfortunately the following Monday the soybean futures market throws a wrench in your “can’t lose” plan and the price drops 20 cents.
You don’t panic like the masses that don’t have clue what they’re doing.
You hold tight because you understand there’s a drought and the supply is super short.
On Tuesday, the prices recover and start climbing again.
This time, you buy four new soybean futures contracts.
The prices continue upward but at a slower pace. The price of soybeans is up 30 cents at the end of the week.
The following Monday prices move up again and by mid-week, the price of soybean is up 20 cents. You decide to sell all four contracts.
Let’s say the total gain for the soybean contract this time was 50 cents.
So your profit on this set of trades is calculated as follows:
4 contracts x 50 cents = 200 cents x $50 = $10,000.
The bottom line profit for four series of trades would be:
Trade 1 $1,250
Trade 2 $6,250
Trade 3 $11,250
Trade 4 $10,000
Hypothetical Trade Total Net Profit is $28,750!
This kind of money (and much more) is made on a regular basis in the futures markets.
Here are the three most important aspects about this strategy:
1) Only pyramid your positions through a series of four trades.
2) Remove most of your profit
3) Start over again SMALL.
This is easy. After you’ve removed most of your profit after the series of four trades you can start over again small.
You’ve got reduce or eliminate risk if you’re going to trade commodities.
You’ve got to remove profits. Don’t leave them in your trading account.
You’ve got to start over again small. By starting and trading small you’ll rarely be over-leveraged. You can also use “stop-loss” orders to protect yourself should the market move against your “can’t lose” strategy.
This is how successful commodity traders do it.
Amateurs almost never remove profits and start over again small. They typically pyramid their positions over and over without any rhyme or reason.
Most amateur traders end up giving back all or most of their profit ….and oftentimes their original stake as well.
On top of that, amateurs rarely use a logical strategy or formula.
Obviously, this was a hypothetical soybean futures trading example.
And, unfortunately, the commodity market isn’t this simple.
There are a lot of elements which can influence the futures market – including panic, war, crashes, bombs and weather related disasters.
***** Action Strategy *****
Commit an hour or two each week over the next six weeks to learning the futures market.
You can practice this business before you risk any money!
This is called paper trading.
Use the “Insider’s” Commodity Trading Strategy as a Guide. See if you can make money on paper before you risk a nickel.
Most brokerages offer paper trading seminars or tutorials too.
If you Google “paper trading” you’ll discover a ton of online tutorials and services.
There are also some great trading seminars and conferences available too – Dick Diamond and Commodity Research Bureau’s Greatest Business on Earth are two of my favorites.
The new futures markets are an amazing tool for making money. If you can learn how to reduce or eliminate risk and if you can learn how to remove profits and trade small….you’ll be light years ahead of the “masses”.
World Commodity Futures Exchanges
Futures Trading Education and Tutorials
Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders
by Jack D. Schwager
The New Market Wizards: Conversations With America’s Top Traders
by Jack D. Schwager
Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom
by Van K. Tharp
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
by Edwin Lefevre and Roger Lowenstein
Agricultural Options: Trading Puts and Calls in the New Grain and Livestock Futures Markets
by George Angell
Winning in the Futures Markets: A Money-Making Guide to Trading, Hedging, and Speculating
by George Angell
Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior
by Robert R. Prechter, Jr., Charles J. Collins, and A. J. Frost
Commodity Trading Manual
by the Chicago Board of Trade and Frank Rose
All About Futures
by Russell R. Wasendorf